DJIA
USD GOING DOWN?
TURKEY’S LIRA
INSIDE INFORMATION
Pivovarna Lasko, politics and new working definiton of inside information.
New governmentm new seruprises?
CHEAP OIL
When oil was over 140$ per barrel almost everyone were talking about how oil is never going to be cheap again. And then came recession and oil is back at 55$:
Source: TradePort2
Many airlines are not yet droping fuel surchage which was very popular half year ago. Obviously seven years long bull trend made a good foundation for hedging oil. But now rules changed. Many companies were crying because of high cost of commodities and energy but now they should benefit from this. Well at least they will compensate lower sales…
GOVERNMENT HELP
12 billion euros government guarantee. If we compare number with TARP or Chinese plan it is really a drop into the ocean. But if we look at market cap at Ljubljana stock market we can see, that on 31.10.2008 there was almost 11 billions euros worth of stocks:
Source: Ljubljanska borza
who will use bank guarantee? mostly banks which won’t be able to refinance their syndicated loans. It appears that next year we could see real problems in getting the liquidity.
EURUSD ON THE WAY DOWN?
MERCATOR ON SALE
Pivovarna Laško will sale Mercator. First impression is that they are in deep trouble because they are selling Mercator. But if you look at selling criteria (price + Pivovarna Laško’s product placement) you can see that they can emerge as winner here: they could end up with good arrangement of placing their products on buyers market. With that they could easily double sales, lower debt and of course show everybody how to do business.
Time will tell.
There are lot of opportunities. But to pick the winning one we must act as Sherlock Holmes - apply logical and rational thinking.
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